BOOT · NYSE · STOCK
Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.
$165.88
52W $133.18 – $210.25
67/100
$5.02B
20.8
1.71
Is BOOT Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT) Buy with a composite score of 67/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +8.38 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -11.62 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Most analysts agree, and no major concerns are blocking a stronger rating.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 18.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 25.1% YoY — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.01) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Bollinger bandwidth of 16.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
67/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 11%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 18.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 25.1% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.01) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 16.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 11 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
62.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.945
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$162.11
Resistance
$170.04
Bollinger %B
0.88
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$162.04
Above
EMA 21
$159.52
Above
EMA 50
$160.33
Above
EMA 200
$165.88
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
81
Profitability
67
Financial Health
98
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
20.8×
P/B Ratio
3.70×
PEG Ratio
0.85
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$210.25
52W Low
$133.18
Quality & Growth
ROE
1713.0%
ROA
847.3%
Gross Margin
3845.1%
Operating Margin
1361.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.59
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 20.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.7x; PEG ratio of 0.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 17.1%; Return on assets of 8.5%; Net margin of 10.4%; Gross margin of 38.5%; Current ratio of 2.53 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.59; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.83); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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