BROS · NYSE · STOCK
Dutch Bros (BROS) Stock Analysis
$41.17
52W $36.51 – $74.02
57/100
$7.72B
57.1
2.31
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is BROS Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) Buy with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated October 16, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +18.31 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -1.69 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 29.6% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 77.7 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 29.6% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 50.8% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 77.7 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 14.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 16, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 44%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bearish
25
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 77.7 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 29.6% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2739.42)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.1 to 56.7.
- Committee agreement fell sharply from 60% to 40%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral.
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-15 to 2026-10-16 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
64.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.708
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$38.17
Resistance
$41.40
Bollinger %B
1.19
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$39.04
Above
EMA 21
$39.94
Above
EMA 50
$44.71
Below
EMA 200
$53.16
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
38
Growth
88
Profitability
31
Financial Health
48
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
57.1×
P/B Ratio
6.93×
PEG Ratio
1.07
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$74.02
52W Low
$36.51
Quality & Growth
ROE
1172.7%
ROA
265.3%
Gross Margin
2502.1%
Operating Margin
965.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.51
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 57.1 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.9x; PEG ratio of 1.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 11.7%; Return on assets of 2.7%; Net margin of 4.9%; Gross margin of 25.0%; Current ratio of 1.35 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.51; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.71); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 9.8%; EPS growth accelerating (-5.9% -> +106.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 26.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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