BTI · NYSE · STOCK
British American Tobacco (BTI) Stock Analysis
$55.50
52W $40.12 – $67.30
56/100
$119.71B
14.4
0.13
Is BTI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates British American Tobacco p.l.c. (BTI) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.07 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.93 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is p/e of 13.9 is inexpensive for the broad market. The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 13.9 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Dividend yield of 8.9% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 110.6% YoY — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.87 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 54%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 13.9 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 110.6% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.87 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.9 to 55.9.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
61.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.115
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$54.84
Resistance
$58.98
Bollinger %B
0.57
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$54.49
Above
EMA 21
$54.92
Above
EMA 50
$56.20
Below
EMA 200
$57.36
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
98
Growth
55
Profitability
88
Financial Health
46
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
14.4×
P/B Ratio
1.88×
PEG Ratio
0.13
Dividend Yield
5.81%
52W High
$67.30
52W Low
$40.12
Quality & Growth
ROE
1620.0%
ROA
710.4%
Gross Margin
6015.7%
Operating Margin
3761.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.72
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 14.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.9x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 16.2%; Return on assets of 7.1%; Net margin of 25.0%; Gross margin of 60.2%; Current ratio of 0.84 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.72; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.49); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.5%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+17.3% -> -11.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 1.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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