BURL · NASDAQ · STOCK
Burlington Stores
$368.89
52W $240.49 – $378.33
58/100
$23.22B
37.8
1.46
Is BURL Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Burlington Stores (BURL) Watch with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 08, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +1.85 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -18.15 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). The main limiting factor is bollinger bandwidth of 15.3% signals elevated volatility. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 37.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 37.2 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 10.4x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 08, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 44%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 37.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 37.2 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
67
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 14 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.6 to 58.1.
- Committee agreement increased modestly from 60% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst.
- New analyst(s) joined: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance neutral->bullish.
- Macro Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst joined: neutral at 48.
Comparing 2026-08-07 to 2026-08-08 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
63.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.357
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.71
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$366.58
Above
EMA 21
$356.74
Above
EMA 50
$342.16
Above
EMA 200
$312.70
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
19
Growth
68
Profitability
62
Financial Health
15
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
37.8×
P/B Ratio
12.89×
PEG Ratio
2.02
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$378.33
52W Low
$240.49
Quality & Growth
ROE
3376.1%
ROA
615.1%
Gross Margin
4398.5%
Operating Margin
732.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
3.20
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 37.8 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 12.9x; PEG ratio of 2.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 33.8%; Return on assets of 6.2%; Net margin of 5.2%; Gross margin of 44.0%; Current ratio of 1.16 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 3.20; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.81); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 10.9%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+171.7% -> -58.9% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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