BWXT · NYSE · STOCK
BWX Technologies (BWXT) Stock Analysis
$157.53
52W $147.74 – $241.82
57/100
$14.44B
40.6
0.74
Is BWXT Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates BWX Technologies (BWXT) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated September 06, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.23 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.77 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 19.8% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 19.8% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 06, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 69%
of 226 Industrials peers
Growth Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 19.8% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.0 to 56.8.
- Committee agreement increased sharply from 33% to 60%.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bullish->neutral.
- Value Analyst abstained (was bearish at 40).
Comparing 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-06 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
48.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.860
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$114.28
Resistance
$189.23
Bollinger %B
0.40
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$157.37
Above
EMA 21
$160.66
Below
EMA 50
$170.33
Below
EMA 200
$183.11
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
17
Growth
72
Profitability
58
Financial Health
75
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
40.6×
P/B Ratio
10.83×
PEG Ratio
1.98
Dividend Yield
0.67%
52W High
$241.82
52W Low
$147.74
Quality & Growth
ROE
2675.2%
ROA
772.2%
Gross Margin
2205.4%
Operating Margin
965.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.51
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 40.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 10.8x; PEG ratio of 2.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 26.8%; Return on assets of 7.7%; Net margin of 10.1%; Gross margin of 22.1%; Current ratio of 2.40 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.51; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.45); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 0.4%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+3.7% -> -4.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 4.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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