URI · NYSE · STOCK
United Rentals (URI) Stock Analysis
$1,117.20
52W $701.59 – $1179.18
62/100
$69.49B
26.9
1.80
Is URI Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates United Rentals (URI) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 19, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.46 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.54 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The main limiting factor is p/e of 27.2 is moderate-to-rich. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 29.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 27.2 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 5.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 1.59 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.59) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.94 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 16.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 19, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 46%
of 226 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 29.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 27.2 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.59) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 20 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2974.99)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.5 to 61.5.
Comparing 2026-08-18 to 2026-08-19 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
45.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.872
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.46
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$1,136.73
Below
EMA 21
$1,121.82
Below
EMA 50
$1,083.45
Above
EMA 200
$959.58
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
19
Growth
70
Profitability
76
Financial Health
21
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
26.9×
P/B Ratio
7.67×
PEG Ratio
3.82
Dividend Yield
0.69%
52W High
$1179.18
52W Low
$701.59
Quality & Growth
ROE
2781.0%
ROA
835.1%
Gross Margin
3707.2%
Operating Margin
2479.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.67
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 26.9 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 7.7x; PEG ratio of 3.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 27.8%; Return on assets of 8.4%; Net margin of 15.7%; Gross margin of 37.1%; Current ratio of 0.76 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.67; Free cash flow per share is positive (9.97); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 9.6%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-12.4% -> +31.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 21.9%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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