BYD · NYSE · STOCK
Boyd Gaming (BYD) Stock Analysis
$68.95
52W $65.00 – $91.41
59/100
$5.01B
3.0
1.13
Is BYD Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Boyd Gaming (BYD) Watch with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +1.39 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -18.61 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 2.8 is inexpensive for the broad market. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 2.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 70.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 250.0% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.17 across 12 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 23 -- oversold on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.54 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 17.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 35%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 2.8 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 250.0% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.54 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.17 across 12 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.7 to 58.6.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
40.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.360
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$63.26
Resistance
$68.96
Bollinger %B
0.34
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$69.40
Below
EMA 21
$71.28
Below
EMA 50
$75.63
Below
EMA 200
$80.92
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
97
Growth
69
Profitability
86
Financial Health
30
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
3.0×
P/B Ratio
2.06×
PEG Ratio
0.01
Dividend Yield
1.13%
52W High
$91.41
52W Low
$65.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
7066.4%
ROA
2803.6%
Gross Margin
3707.3%
Operating Margin
1950.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.30
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 3.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.1x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 70.7%; Return on assets of 28.0%; Net margin of 44.3%; Gross margin of 37.1%; Current ratio of 0.77 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.30; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.47); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.4%; EPS growth accelerating (-27.6% -> +20.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 3.2%; Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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