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CAG · NYSE · STOCK

Conagra Brands, Inc.

Consumer Defensive Updated August 11, 2026
$14.95
52W $12.53 – $20.32
45/100
$7.15B
-3.7
-0.05
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
45/100
Conviction: Contested · 50% agreement · 6 analysts
Contested

Is CAG Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) Watch with a composite score of 45/100 , based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement. Last updated August 11, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +14.65 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -5.35 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -2.9% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Price-to-book of 1.0x is a discount to asset value — Value
  • Dividend yield of 4.7% pays you to wait — Value
  • VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
  • Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
  • ROE of only -24.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
  • Revenue declining -2.9% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
  • Current ratio of 0.90 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
  • News sentiment is negative (-0.50 across 2 articles, 14d) — News
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
45/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 100%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst neutral
55 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.0x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -24.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst bearish
15 / 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -2.9% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst neutral
48 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.90 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst bullish
78 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst neutral
41 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
− News sentiment is negative (-0.50 across 2 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager neutral
55 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
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Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
52.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.045
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$12.54
Resistance
$18.05
Bollinger %B
0.57
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$14.92 Above
EMA 21
$14.74 Above
EMA 50
$14.45 Above
EMA 200
$16.04 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
100
Profitability
2
Financial Health
38
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio -3.7×
P/B Ratio 1.13×
PEG Ratio -0.01
Dividend Yield 8.20%
52W High $20.32
52W Low $12.53
Quality & Growth
ROE -3014.0%
ROA -1109.3%
Gross Margin 2391.9%
Operating Margin -1443.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 1.14
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of -3.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.1x; PEG ratio of -0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -30.1%; Return on assets of -11.1%; Net margin of -17.0%; Gross margin of 23.9%; Current ratio of 0.90 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.14; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.04); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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