CAG · NYSE · STOCK
Conagra Brands (CAG) Stock Analysis
$13.49
52W $12.53 – $20.32
47/100
$6.46B
-3.4
-0.05
Is CAG Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) Watch with a composite score of 47/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +12.66 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -7.34 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -1.8% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.0x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.9% pays you to wait — Value
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- ROE of only -26.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -1.8% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.90 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
47/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 94%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.0x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -26.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
25
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -1.8% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.90 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 47.7 to 47.3.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
37.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.054
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$12.54
Resistance
$16.73
Bollinger %B
0.26
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$13.60
Below
EMA 21
$14.10
Below
EMA 50
$14.55
Below
EMA 200
$15.65
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
53
Profitability
2
Financial Health
45
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-3.4×
P/B Ratio
1.01×
PEG Ratio
-0.00
Dividend Yield
9.08%
52W High
$20.32
52W Low
$12.53
Quality & Growth
ROE
-3014.0%
ROA
-1109.3%
Gross Margin
2380.2%
Operating Margin
-1518.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.21
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -3.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.0x; PEG ratio of -0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -30.1%; Return on assets of -11.1%; Net margin of -17.0%; Gross margin of 23.8%; Current ratio of 1.10 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.21; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.83); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 43.2%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+20.5% -> -12.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 5.1%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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