CAKE · NASDAQ · STOCK
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
$113.06
52W $43.07 – $113.82
54/100
$5.62B
29.5
1.00
Is CAKE Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.65 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.35 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.59 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 38.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 30.4 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 5.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- RSI at 93 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 93 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.59 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 46.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 75%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 38.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 30.4 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 93 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.59 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 20 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
92.6
Overbought
MACD Histogram
1.333
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Bollinger %B
0.90
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$105.69
Above
EMA 21
$97.42
Above
EMA 50
$86.13
Above
EMA 200
$68.45
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
29
Profitability
59
Financial Health
0
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
29.5×
P/B Ratio
10.16×
PEG Ratio
2.11
Dividend Yield
1.03%
52W High
$113.82
52W Low
$43.07
Quality & Growth
ROE
3401.0%
ROA
455.1%
Gross Margin
4642.0%
Operating Margin
526.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
4.01
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 29.5 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 10.2x; PEG ratio of 2.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 34.0%; Return on assets of 4.6%; Net margin of 4.6%; Gross margin of 46.4%; Current ratio of 0.59 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 4.01; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.42); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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