CASY · NASDAQ · STOCK
Casey's (CASY) Stock Analysis
$854.18
52W $490.00 – $927.85
63/100
$30.93B
43.3
0.61
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is CASY Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Casey's (CASY) Buy with a composite score of 63/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 24, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +11.67 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -8.33 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 24, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 15%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
82
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 58.2 to 63.3.
- Conviction changed from moderate to contested.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 60% to 50%.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 79->82 (+4).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 42).
Comparing 2026-08-23 to 2026-08-24 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
44.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-2.922
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$739.99
Resistance
$924.60
Bollinger %B
0.24
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$843.19
Above
EMA 21
$845.35
Above
EMA 50
$835.81
Above
EMA 200
$733.45
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
27
Growth
81
Profitability
51
Financial Health
53
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
43.3×
P/B Ratio
7.84×
PEG Ratio
1.40
Dividend Yield
0.28%
52W High
$927.85
52W Low
$490.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
1807.9%
ROA
799.5%
Gross Margin
2460.6%
Operating Margin
588.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.74
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 43.3 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 7.8x; PEG ratio of 1.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 18.1%; Return on assets of 8.0%; Net margin of 4.1%; Gross margin of 24.6%; Current ratio of 1.01 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.74; Free cash flow per share is positive (19.47); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 30.0%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-36.9% -> +25.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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