CAVA · NASDAQ · STOCK
Cava Group
$62.19
52W $43.41 – $98.79
63/100
$7.27B
117.2
1.75
Is CAVA Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Cava Group (CAVA) Buy with a composite score of 63/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated August 09, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +12.09 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -7.91 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — quarter-over-quarter growth rate is accelerating, not just positive. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 18.2% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 38 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 18.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 09, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 25%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 18.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 38 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 58.1 to 62.9.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 60%.
- Bullish support removed: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst, Risk Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 57->85 (+28).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 58->35 (-22).
- Value Analyst abstained (was bearish at 40).
Comparing 2026-08-08 to 2026-08-09 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
37.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.322
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$58.35
Resistance
$71.43
Bollinger %B
0.24
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$64.12
Below
EMA 21
$66.46
Below
EMA 50
$71.49
Below
EMA 200
$75.04
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
89
Profitability
28
Financial Health
97
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
117.2×
P/B Ratio
8.97×
PEG Ratio
-2.05
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$98.79
52W Low
$43.41
Quality & Growth
ROE
817.6%
ROA
468.7%
Gross Margin
1860.5%
Operating Margin
716.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.62
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 117.2 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 9.0x; PEG ratio of -2.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.2%; Return on assets of 4.7%; Net margin of 4.8%; Gross margin of 18.6%; Current ratio of 2.65 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.62; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.33); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 11.5%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-66.7% -> +400.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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