CCK · NYSE · STOCK
Crown Holdings (CCK) Stock Analysis
$108.27
52W $89.21 – $122.91
59/100
$11.77B
15.5
0.56
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is CCK Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Crown Holdings (CCK) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.01 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.99 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 45.9% yoy. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 1.99) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 26.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 45.9% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 4 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 1.99 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.99) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 32%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 26.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Debt-to-equity of 1.99 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bullish
79
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 45.9% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.99) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 4 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.8 to 59.0.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 67% to 50%.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 61->56 (-5).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
51.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.389
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$104.39
Resistance
$108.72
Bollinger %B
0.48
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$107.70
Above
EMA 21
$109.02
Below
EMA 50
$111.10
Below
EMA 200
$107.49
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
86
Growth
91
Profitability
45
Financial Health
18
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
15.5×
P/B Ratio
4.13×
PEG Ratio
0.33
Dividend Yield
1.21%
52W High
$122.91
52W Low
$89.21
Quality & Growth
ROE
2447.5%
ROA
514.3%
Gross Margin
1751.7%
Operating Margin
1376.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.19
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 15.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.1x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 24.5%; Return on assets of 5.1%; Net margin of 5.9%; Gross margin of 17.5%; Current ratio of 1.05 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.19; Free cash flow per share is positive (10.79); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 14.1%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+6.9% -> +33.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 15.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full CCK Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →