CHD · NYSE · STOCK
Church & Dwight (CHD) Stock Analysis
$98.07
52W $81.33 – $106.04
60/100
$23.25B
31.4
0.48
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is CHD Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Church & Dwight (CHD) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.85 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.15 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 18 articles, 14d). Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 17.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 46.6% YoY — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 18 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 31.1 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 5.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 73 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 29%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 17.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 31.1 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 46.6% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 73 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 18 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.5 to 60.1.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
72.6
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.487
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$96.47
Resistance
$98.27
Bollinger %B
1.06
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$96.46
Above
EMA 21
$96.31
Above
EMA 50
$97.06
Above
EMA 200
$96.36
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
58
Growth
44
Profitability
75
Financial Health
63
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
31.4×
P/B Ratio
5.34×
PEG Ratio
0.69
Dividend Yield
1.24%
52W High
$106.04
52W Low
$81.33
Quality & Growth
ROE
1841.0%
ROA
826.7%
Gross Margin
4564.9%
Operating Margin
1746.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.56
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 31.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.3x; PEG ratio of 0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 18.4%; Return on assets of 8.3%; Net margin of 12.0%; Gross margin of 45.6%; Current ratio of 1.15 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.56; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.71); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.7%; EPS growth decelerating (+10.5% -> -6.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -5.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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