CHRW · NASDAQ · STOCK
C.H. Robinson (CHRW) Stock Analysis
$142.33
52W $123.64 – $210.33
51/100
$16.77B
26.8
0.95
Is CHRW Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates C.H. Robinson (CHRW) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +9.14 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -10.86 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 36.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.0% pays you to wait — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- P/E of 40.1 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 10.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Revenue declining -0.1% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 88%
of 227 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 36.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 40.1 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -0.1% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 18.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.0 to 50.9.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: score 48->42 (-7); +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
44.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.909
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$141.36
Resistance
$190.09
Bollinger %B
0.27
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$143.38
Below
EMA 21
$146.67
Below
EMA 50
$152.86
Below
EMA 200
$160.69
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
45
Growth
87
Profitability
55
Financial Health
65
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
26.8×
P/B Ratio
10.37×
PEG Ratio
1.37
Dividend Yield
1.77%
52W High
$210.33
52W Low
$123.64
Quality & Growth
ROE
3180.9%
ROA
1160.6%
Gross Margin
1013.5%
Operating Margin
490.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.21
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 26.8 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 10.4x; PEG ratio of 1.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 31.8%; Return on assets of 11.6%; Net margin of 3.7%; Gross margin of 10.1%; Current ratio of 1.58 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.21; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.64); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.5%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+9.8% -> +19.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 24.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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