NASDAQ · STOCK
CME Group
$237.88
52W $218.31 – $329.16
52/100
$88.08B
20.9
0.29
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
5 analysts weighed in with 60% agreement on a neutral lean. Macro Analyst: Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst: Bollinger bandwidth of 26.5% signals elevated volatility. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Executive Summary
5 analysts weighed in with 60% agreement on a neutral lean. Macro Analyst: Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst: Bollinger bandwidth of 26.5% signals elevated volatility. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 7.6% downside vs 2.4% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 07, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Growth Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 26.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
57.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.997
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$224.75
Resistance
$248.86
Bollinger %B
0.50
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$236.46
Above
EMA 21
$243.51
Below
EMA 50
$260.13
Below
EMA 200
$275.41
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
73
Growth
75
Profitability
75
Financial Health
60
Valuation
P/E Ratio
20.9×
P/B Ratio
3.43×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
2.10%
52W High
$329.16
52W Low
$218.31
Quality & Growth
ROE
1535.0%
ROA
223.0%
Gross Margin
9597.0%
Operating Margin
8420.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+2455.0%
Debt / Equity
0.12
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 20.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.4x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 24.6%; EPS growth (YoY) of 17.4%; Return on equity of 15.3%; Return on assets of 2.2%; Net margin of 33.7%; Gross margin of 96.0%; Current ratio of 1.03 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.12; Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.2%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (+3.4% -> +21.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 7.6% downside vs 2.4% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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