CPRI · NYSE · STOCK
Capri Holdings (CPRI) Stock Analysis
$14.96
52W $12.40 – $28.27
54/100
$1.72B
11.9
1.34
Is CPRI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Capri Holdings (CPRI) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.70 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.30 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 4.46) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 11.1 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 168.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 25.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 4.46 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Revenue declining -17.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.46) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 62%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ P/E of 11.1 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Price-to-book of 25.0x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -17.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.46) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.3 to 54.3.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
60.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.027
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$12.43
Resistance
$19.44
Bollinger %B
0.68
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$14.66
Above
EMA 21
$14.54
Above
EMA 50
$14.88
Above
EMA 200
$17.70
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Growth
84
Profitability
63
Financial Health
16
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
11.9×
P/B Ratio
12.50×
PEG Ratio
0.04
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$28.27
52W Low
$12.40
Quality & Growth
ROE
11500.0%
ROA
284.5%
Gross Margin
6096.9%
Operating Margin
191.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
10.09
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 11.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 12.5x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 115.0%; Return on assets of 2.8%; Net margin of 4.4%; Gross margin of 61.0%; Current ratio of 1.19 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 10.09; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.72); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 63.3%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-72.8% -> +204.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 34.0%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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