CROX · NASDAQ · STOCK
Crocs (CROX) Stock Analysis
$115.00
52W $73.21 – $141.28
62/100
$5.51B
9.9
1.56
Is CROX Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Crocs (CROX) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 5 analysts with 80% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +12.72 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -7.28 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 9.4 is inexpensive for the broad market. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 9.4 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 43.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 211.2% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -2.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 18%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 9.4 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 211.2% YoY
− Revenue declining -2.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 57.7 to 62.3.
- Conviction changed from moderate to high.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 67% to 80%.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bearish at 35).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
37.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.407
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$113.01
Resistance
$122.41
Bollinger %B
0.24
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$117.86
Below
EMA 21
$119.14
Below
EMA 50
$120.95
Below
EMA 200
$111.97
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
87
Growth
88
Profitability
42
Financial Health
61
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
9.9×
P/B Ratio
4.13×
PEG Ratio
-0.02
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$141.28
52W Low
$73.21
Quality & Growth
ROE
-627.8%
ROA
-194.5%
Gross Margin
5747.0%
Operating Margin
2073.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.22
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 9.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.1x; PEG ratio of -0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -6.3%; Return on assets of -1.9%; Net margin of 14.6%; Gross margin of 57.5%; Current ratio of 1.49 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.22; Free cash flow per share is positive (14.18); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.8%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+30.6% -> +52.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 7.6%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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