DAN · NYSE · STOCK
Dana (DAN) Stock Analysis
$29.34
52W $17.89 – $39.56
51/100
$3.66B
-18.3
2.03
Is DAN Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Dana Incorporated (DAN) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +9.27 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -10.73 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -15.8% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 2.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 76.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.0% pays you to wait — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 5 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 3.82 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Revenue declining -15.8% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.82) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 17.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 83%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 2.8 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Debt-to-equity of 3.82 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bearish
23
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -15.8% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.82) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 5 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 50.7 to 50.7.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
62.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.113
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$24.61
Resistance
$32.28
Bollinger %B
0.61
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$28.51
Above
EMA 21
$28.78
Above
EMA 50
$29.24
Above
EMA 200
$28.90
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
99
Growth
22
Profitability
40
Financial Health
72
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-18.3×
P/B Ratio
1.65×
PEG Ratio
-0.03
Dividend Yield
1.57%
52W High
$39.56
52W Low
$17.89
Quality & Growth
ROE
987.2%
ROA
108.9%
Gross Margin
-171.2%
Operating Margin
317.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.78
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -18.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.7x; PEG ratio of -0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 9.9%; Return on assets of 1.1%; Net margin of 47.4%; Gross margin of -1.7%; Current ratio of 1.49 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.78; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.22); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 72.9%; 3 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+341.6% -> -44.1% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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