DHI · NYSE · STOCK
D. R. Horton (DHI) Stock Analysis
$148.38
52W $131.75 – $184.55
62/100
$41.49B
14.1
1.38
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is DHI Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates D. R. Horton (DHI) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 24, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.40 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.60 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 13.7 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.25) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -3.5% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -15.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 24, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 22%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 13.7 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -3.5% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.25) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.6 to 61.6.
Comparing 2026-08-23 to 2026-08-24 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
50.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.220
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$140.10
Resistance
$154.18
Bollinger %B
0.52
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$148.41
Below
EMA 21
$148.56
Below
EMA 50
$149.29
Below
EMA 200
$149.56
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
99
Growth
76
Profitability
57
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
14.1×
P/B Ratio
1.79×
PEG Ratio
-0.88
Dividend Yield
1.21%
52W High
$184.55
52W Low
$131.75
Quality & Growth
ROE
1482.1%
ROA
1010.7%
Gross Margin
2261.2%
Operating Margin
1163.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.30
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 14.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.8x; PEG ratio of -0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 14.8%; Return on assets of 10.1%; Net margin of 9.2%; Gross margin of 22.6%; Current ratio of 9.84 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.30; Free cash flow per share is positive (11.51); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.4%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+10.3% -> +42.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -4.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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