DPZ · NASDAQ · STOCK
Domino's (DPZ) Stock Analysis
$349.12
52W $282.00 – $469.00
59/100
$11.31B
19.3
0.95
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is DPZ Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Domino's (DPZ) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated August 24, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.37 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.63 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is roe of 31.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation. The main limiting factor is 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 31.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 24 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 24, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 29%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 31.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 24 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3063.01)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.6 to 58.6.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-23 to 2026-08-24 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
47.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-3.450
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$330.15
Resistance
$352.15
Bollinger %B
0.30
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$342.14
Above
EMA 21
$341.98
Above
EMA 50
$335.12
Above
EMA 200
$362.29
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
61
Growth
46
Profitability
52
Financial Health
81
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
19.3×
P/B Ratio
-2.86×
PEG Ratio
9.05
Dividend Yield
2.18%
52W High
$469.00
52W Low
$282.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
-1542.4%
ROA
3340.2%
Gross Margin
4002.1%
Operating Margin
1953.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-1.29
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 19.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -2.9x; PEG ratio of 9.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -15.4%; Return on assets of 33.4%; Net margin of 11.9%; Gross margin of 40.0%; Current ratio of 1.54 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -1.29; Free cash flow per share is positive (19.61); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 3.4%; 3 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-26.0% -> +2.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 6.8%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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