DPZ · NASDAQ · STOCK
Domino's (DPZ) Stock Analysis
$309.43
52W $282.00 – $442.35
59/100
$10.23B
17.5
0.95
Is DPZ Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Domino's (DPZ) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.30 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.70 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — roe of 31.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 31.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 34%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 31.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.7 to 58.7.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
64.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
2.823
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$299.88
Resistance
$326.40
Bollinger %B
0.79
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$303.18
Above
EMA 21
$306.19
Above
EMA 50
$316.28
Below
EMA 200
$348.42
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
63
Growth
46
Profitability
52
Financial Health
81
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.5×
P/B Ratio
-2.59×
PEG Ratio
8.19
Dividend Yield
2.49%
52W High
$442.35
52W Low
$282.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
-1542.4%
ROA
3340.2%
Gross Margin
4002.1%
Operating Margin
1953.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-1.29
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -2.6x; PEG ratio of 8.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -15.4%; Return on assets of 33.4%; Net margin of 11.9%; Gross margin of 40.0%; Current ratio of 1.54 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -1.29; Free cash flow per share is positive (19.61); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 3.4%; 3 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-26.0% -> +2.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 6.8%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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