EAT · NYSE · STOCK
Brinker International (EAT) Stock Analysis
$193.83
52W $100.30 – $254.99
59/100
$8.31B
17.4
1.26
Is EAT Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.56 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.44 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 36.4% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 123.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 36.4% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 44.8% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 18 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 16.4x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.45 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.8% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 29%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 123.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 16.4x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 36.4% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.45 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 18 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.4 to 59.4.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
44.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.650
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$149.13
Resistance
$254.86
Bollinger %B
0.30
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$194.21
Below
EMA 21
$201.21
Below
EMA 50
$205.05
Below
EMA 200
$179.71
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
64
Growth
67
Profitability
60
Financial Health
0
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.4×
P/B Ratio
19.05×
PEG Ratio
0.59
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$254.99
52W Low
$100.30
Quality & Growth
ROE
10975.9%
ROA
1730.0%
Gross Margin
1864.7%
Operating Margin
1067.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
3.96
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 19.1x; PEG ratio of 0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 109.8%; Return on assets of 17.3%; Net margin of 8.4%; Gross margin of 18.6%; Current ratio of 0.45 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 3.96; Free cash flow per share is positive (12.79); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.6%; EPS growth accelerating (+1.0% -> +5.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 23.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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