ELF · NYSE · STOCK
e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) Stock Analysis
$109.66
52W $48.82 – $150.99
55/100
$6.33B
107.3
2.39
Is ELF Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 05, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.45 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.55 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 31.2% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 24.7% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 31.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 24 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 106.1 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- EPS declining -41.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 78 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 24.7% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 05, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 58%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 106.1 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 31.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− EPS declining -41.7% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 24.7% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 24 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3059.07)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.5 to 54.5.
Comparing 2026-09-04 to 2026-09-05 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
65.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.098
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$100.16
Resistance
$132.29
Bollinger %B
0.78
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$105.30
Above
EMA 21
$99.81
Above
EMA 50
$89.22
Above
EMA 200
$82.54
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
46
Growth
90
Profitability
35
Financial Health
93
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
107.3×
P/B Ratio
5.43×
PEG Ratio
-2.54
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$150.99
52W Low
$48.82
Quality & Growth
ROE
232.8%
ROA
109.9%
Gross Margin
7443.6%
Operating Margin
1050.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.79
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 107.3 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.4x; PEG ratio of -2.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 2.3%; Return on assets of 1.1%; Net margin of 3.4%; Gross margin of 74.4%; Current ratio of 2.55 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.79; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.74); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 143.1%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-74.2% -> +446.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 96.6%; Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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