EYE · NASDAQ · STOCK
National Vision Holdings (EYE) Stock Analysis
$16.73
52W $14.75 – $30.02
55/100
$1.34B
26.4
0.98
Is EYE Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 06, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.05 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.95 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Technical Analyst remains cautious — price structure making lower highs and lower lows. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.28) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 26.3 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 25 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 06, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 78%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 26.3 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bearish
33
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.28) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Current ratio of 0.55 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
− No news coverage in the last 14 days -- limited independent confirmation either way
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.0 to 55.0.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-06 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
24.6
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.198
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$14.76
Resistance
$23.77
Bollinger %B
0.22
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$17.34
Below
EMA 21
$18.34
Below
EMA 50
$19.23
Below
EMA 200
$21.47
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
85
Growth
74
Profitability
33
Financial Health
43
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
26.4×
P/B Ratio
1.48×
PEG Ratio
0.01
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$30.02
52W Low
$14.75
Quality & Growth
ROE
340.4%
ROA
139.2%
Gross Margin
5522.3%
Operating Margin
412.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.78
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 26.4 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.5x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 3.4%; Return on assets of 1.4%; Net margin of 2.5%; Gross margin of 55.2%; Current ratio of 0.59 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.78; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.62); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 33.2%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+200.0% -> -44.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 38.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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