EYE · NASDAQ · STOCK
National Vision Holdings (EYE) Stock Analysis
$16.66
52W $11.90 – $30.02
61/100
$1.34B
26.3
0.98
Is EYE Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.61 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.39 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+1.00 across 1 articles, 14d). Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.28) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+1.00 across 1 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 26.2 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.55 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 20%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 26.2 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.28) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Current ratio of 0.55 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
90
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+1.00 across 1 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.4 to 61.4.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
51.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.140
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$14.76
Resistance
$23.77
Bollinger %B
0.58
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$16.62
Above
EMA 21
$16.77
Below
EMA 50
$17.62
Below
EMA 200
$20.44
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
85
Growth
74
Profitability
33
Financial Health
43
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
26.3×
P/B Ratio
1.48×
PEG Ratio
0.01
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$30.02
52W Low
$11.90
Quality & Growth
ROE
340.4%
ROA
139.2%
Gross Margin
5522.3%
Operating Margin
412.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.78
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 26.3 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.5x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 3.4%; Return on assets of 1.4%; Net margin of 2.5%; Gross margin of 55.2%; Current ratio of 0.59 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.78; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.62); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 33.2%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+200.0% -> -44.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 38.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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