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F · NYSE · STOCK

Ford Motor (F) Stock Analysis

Consumer Cyclical Updated August 25, 2026
$13.93
52W $11.11 – $17.78
55/100
$55.51B
-7.5
1.85
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
55/100
Conviction: Contested · 50% agreement · 4 analysts
+0.2%
-5.0%
0.04:1
Contested

Is F Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Ford Motor Company (F) Watch with a composite score of 55/100 , based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement. Last updated August 25, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.96 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.04 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 25, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 60%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
62 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3063.01)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score strengthened from 50.2 to 55.0.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Risk Analyst abstained (was bearish at 30).
  • Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 48).

Comparing 2026-08-24 to 2026-08-25 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
44.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.007
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$13.23
Resistance
$13.95
Bollinger %B
0.29
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$14.13 Below
EMA 21
$14.17 Below
EMA 50
$14.12 Below
EMA 200
$13.36 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
100
Growth
66
Profitability
0
Financial Health
12
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio -7.5×
P/B Ratio 1.55×
PEG Ratio 0.02
Dividend Yield 4.31%
52W High $17.78
52W Low $11.11
Quality & Growth
ROE -2275.8%
ROA -283.0%
Gross Margin 1077.1%
Operating Margin 196.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 4.57
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -7.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.6x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -22.8%; Return on assets of -2.8%; Net margin of -3.9%; Gross margin of 10.8%; Current ratio of 1.09 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 4.57; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.83); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 17.7%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+407.7% -> -36.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 13.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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