F · NASDAQ · STOCK
Ford Motor Company
$13.97
52W $11.06 – $17.78
50/100
$55.75B
-7.5
1.83
Is F Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Ford Motor Company (F) Watch with a composite score of 50/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated August 08, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.31 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.69 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 4.54) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.4% pays you to wait — Value
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.93 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 244 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- ROE of only -18.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 4.54 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.54) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 08, 2026
Overall Committee Score
50/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 94%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -18.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.54) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 244 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.6 to 49.7.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 50% to 33%.
- Bullish support removed: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: score 68->64 (-4); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 61->48 (-13).
Comparing 2026-08-07 to 2026-08-08 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
39.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.076
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$13.23
Resistance
$14.49
Bollinger %B
0.27
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$14.25
Below
EMA 21
$14.28
Below
EMA 50
$14.14
Below
EMA 200
$13.28
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
66
Profitability
0
Financial Health
12
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-7.5×
P/B Ratio
1.56×
PEG Ratio
0.02
Dividend Yield
4.29%
52W High
$17.78
52W Low
$11.06
Quality & Growth
ROE
-2275.8%
ROA
-283.0%
Gross Margin
1077.1%
Operating Margin
196.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
4.57
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -7.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.6x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -22.8%; Return on assets of -2.8%; Net margin of -3.9%; Gross margin of 10.8%; Current ratio of 1.09 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 4.57; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.83); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 17.7%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+407.7% -> -36.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 13.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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