FND · NASDAQ · STOCK
Floor & Decor
$59.83
52W $42.64 – $92.41
58/100
$6.68B
29.2
1.57
Is FND Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Floor & Decor (FND) Watch with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 09, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +2.46 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -17.54 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Growth Analyst remains cautious — growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.08) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.63 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 29 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 28.8 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 20.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 09, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 53%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 28.8 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.08) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 20.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 29 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.5 to 57.5.
Comparing 2026-08-08 to 2026-08-09 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
67.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.652
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$59.92
Resistance
$67.40
Bollinger %B
1.01
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$59.30
Above
EMA 21
$57.45
Above
EMA 50
$55.54
Above
EMA 200
$60.21
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
42
Growth
53
Profitability
42
Financial Health
65
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
29.2×
P/B Ratio
2.71×
PEG Ratio
3.01
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$92.41
52W Low
$42.64
Quality & Growth
ROE
866.2%
ROA
381.5%
Gross Margin
4485.9%
Operating Margin
613.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.81
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 29.2 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.7x; PEG ratio of 3.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.7%; Return on assets of 3.8%; Net margin of 4.9%; Gross margin of 44.9%; Current ratio of 1.33 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.81; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.96); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.3%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+56.8% -> +0.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 0.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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