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FND · NYSE · STOCK

Floor & Decor (FND) Stock Analysis

Consumer Cyclical Updated October 10, 2026
$45.49
52W $42.64 – $77.46
63/100
$4.85B
21.2
1.60
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
63/100
Conviction: Moderate · 67% agreement · 6 analysts
+24.3%
-6.0%
4.03:1
Moderate

Is FND Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates Floor & Decor (FND) Buy with a composite score of 63/100 , based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy
Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +11.60 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch
Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -8.40 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.08) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
  • Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.08) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
  • Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 15%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst bullish
62 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
Growth Analyst bullish
62 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst neutral
56 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst bullish
80 / 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.08) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst neutral
55 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager bearish
30 / 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 63.5 to 63.4.

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
40.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.218
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$42.74
Resistance
$56.54
Bollinger %B
0.16
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$46.26 Below
EMA 21
$47.21 Below
EMA 50
$49.70 Below
EMA 200
$56.51 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
70
Growth
67
Profitability
42
Financial Health
65
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 21.2×
P/B Ratio 1.96×
PEG Ratio 2.18
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52W High $77.46
52W Low $42.64
Quality & Growth
ROE 866.2%
ROA 381.5%
Gross Margin 4485.9%
Operating Margin 613.8%
Revenue Growth YoY —
Debt / Equity 0.81
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 21.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.0x; PEG ratio of 2.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.7%; Return on assets of 3.8%; Net margin of 4.9%; Gross margin of 44.9%; Current ratio of 1.33 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.81; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.96); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.8%; EPS growth accelerating (+0.0% -> +56.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 0.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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