FRPT · NASDAQ · STOCK
Freshpet (FRPT) Stock Analysis
$70.19
52W $46.45 – $86.00
66/100
$3.45B
16.9
1.66
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is FRPT Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT) Buy with a composite score of 66/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated September 06, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +8.58 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -11.42 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The main limiting factor is macd histogram negative -- bearish momentum. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 16.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 449.7% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 06, 2026
Overall Committee Score
66/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 9%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 16.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 449.7% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 66.4 to 66.4.
Comparing 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-06 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
42.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.031
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$59.65
Resistance
$71.46
Bollinger %B
0.26
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$71.15
Below
EMA 21
$70.31
Below
EMA 50
$66.06
Above
EMA 200
$64.81
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
91
Growth
72
Profitability
68
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
16.9×
P/B Ratio
2.79×
PEG Ratio
0.03
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$86.00
52W Low
$46.45
Quality & Growth
ROE
1151.2%
ROA
782.6%
Gross Margin
3929.2%
Operating Margin
883.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.40
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 16.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.8x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 11.5%; Return on assets of 7.8%; Net margin of 17.3%; Gross margin of 39.3%; Current ratio of 6.05 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.40; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.43); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 21.6%; EPS growth accelerating (-137.5% -> +262.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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