FRPT · NASDAQ · STOCK
Freshpet, Inc.
$71.67
52W $46.45 – $86.00
61/100
$3.53B
17.2
1.64
Is FRPT Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.20 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.80 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 32.3% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 16.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 449.7% YoY — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.77 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- RSI at 74 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 32.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 33%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 16.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 449.7% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 74 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 32.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 16 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
74.2
Overbought
MACD Histogram
1.010
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$71.42
Resistance
$76.41
Bollinger %B
1.02
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$66.11
Above
EMA 21
$62.38
Above
EMA 50
$59.35
Above
EMA 200
$63.28
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
90
Profitability
68
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.2×
P/B Ratio
2.85×
PEG Ratio
0.03
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$86.00
52W Low
$46.45
Quality & Growth
ROE
1151.2%
ROA
782.6%
Gross Margin
3929.2%
Operating Margin
883.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.40
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 17.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.9x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 11.5%; Return on assets of 7.8%; Net margin of 17.3%; Gross margin of 39.3%; Current ratio of 6.05 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.40; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.43); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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