FRPT · NASDAQ · STOCK
Freshpet (FRPT) Stock Analysis
$64.06
52W $46.45 – $86.00
60/100
$3.15B
15.4
1.78
Is FRPT Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.88 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.12 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 449.7% yoy. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 16.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 449.7% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 16.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 30%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 16.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 449.7% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 16.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.2 to 60.1.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 49->56 (+8).
- Value Analyst: score 70->65 (-5).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
66.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.912
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$59.65
Resistance
$71.46
Bollinger %B
0.83
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$62.14
Above
EMA 21
$62.27
Above
EMA 50
$63.16
Above
EMA 200
$64.11
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
94
Growth
72
Profitability
68
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
15.4×
P/B Ratio
2.55×
PEG Ratio
0.03
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$86.00
52W Low
$46.45
Quality & Growth
ROE
1151.2%
ROA
782.6%
Gross Margin
3929.2%
Operating Margin
883.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.40
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 15.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.5x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 11.5%; Return on assets of 7.8%; Net margin of 17.3%; Gross margin of 39.3%; Current ratio of 6.05 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.40; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.43); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 21.6%; EPS growth accelerating (-137.5% -> +262.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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