FTDR · NASDAQ · STOCK
Frontdoor, Inc.
$83.57
52W $48.47 – $93.43
59/100
$5.87B
21.8
1.47
Is FTDR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Frontdoor, Inc. (FTDR) Watch with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +0.86 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -19.14 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 4.85) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 98.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 17.2x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 4.85 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.85) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 30.1% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 44%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 98.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 17.2x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.85) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
60.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.153
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.80
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$81.62
Above
EMA 21
$78.15
Above
EMA 50
$73.90
Above
EMA 200
$65.28
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
42
Profitability
86
Financial Health
33
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
21.8×
P/B Ratio
20.57×
PEG Ratio
1.93
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$93.43
52W Low
$48.47
Quality & Growth
ROE
10537.2%
ROA
1190.5%
Gross Margin
5253.8%
Operating Margin
1998.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
4.14
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 21.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 20.6x; PEG ratio of 1.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 105.4%; Return on assets of 11.9%; Net margin of 12.8%; Gross margin of 52.5%; Current ratio of 1.59 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 4.14; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.52); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
Get the Full FTDR Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →