FTDR · NASDAQ · STOCK
Frontdoor (FTDR) Stock Analysis
$79.87
52W $48.47 – $93.43
54/100
$5.60B
20.8
1.53
Is FTDR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Frontdoor, Inc. (FTDR) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.88 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.12 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.38 across 8 articles, 14d). Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 4.85) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 101.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.38 across 8 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 17.2x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 4.85 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.85) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 63%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 101.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 17.2x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.85) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.38 across 8 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.5 to 54.1.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
65.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.646
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$70.05
Resistance
$80.31
Bollinger %B
0.74
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$77.80
Above
EMA 21
$77.73
Above
EMA 50
$77.78
Above
EMA 200
$70.18
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
45
Growth
69
Profitability
86
Financial Health
33
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
20.8×
P/B Ratio
19.64×
PEG Ratio
1.84
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$93.43
52W Low
$48.47
Quality & Growth
ROE
10537.2%
ROA
1190.5%
Gross Margin
5253.8%
Operating Margin
1998.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
4.14
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 20.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 19.6x; PEG ratio of 1.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 105.4%; Return on assets of 11.9%; Net margin of 12.8%; Gross margin of 52.5%; Current ratio of 1.59 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 4.14; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.52); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 7.2%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+217.4% -> +164.4% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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