GPI · NYSE · STOCK
Group 1 Automotive (GPI) Stock Analysis
$231.77
52W $227.88 – $461.27
51/100
$2.77B
9.6
0.82
Is GPI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +9.36 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -10.64 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 9.6 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 2.01 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -34.2% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 83%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ P/E of 9.6 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Debt-to-equity of 2.01 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -34.2% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.01) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 50.6 to 50.6.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
33.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.008
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Bollinger %B
0.17
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$240.13
Below
EMA 21
$249.22
Below
EMA 50
$264.85
Below
EMA 200
$315.94
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
42
Profitability
24
Financial Health
21
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
9.6×
P/B Ratio
0.93×
PEG Ratio
-0.29
Dividend Yield
0.93%
52W High
$461.27
52W Low
$227.88
Quality & Growth
ROE
1160.6%
ROA
312.8%
Gross Margin
1566.0%
Operating Margin
403.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.03
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 9.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.9x; PEG ratio of -0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 11.6%; Return on assets of 3.1%; Net margin of 1.3%; Gross margin of 15.7%; Current ratio of 1.02 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.03; Free cash flow per share is positive (11.70); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 11.7%; 4 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (+1.8% -> +10.9% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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