GPI · NYSE · STOCK
Group 1 Automotive, Inc.
$266.04
52W $261.13 – $488.39
49/100
$3.17B
11.1
0.83
Is GPI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) Watch with a composite score of 49/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.76 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.24 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -34.2% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 10.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 2.01 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -34.2% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 27 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
49/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 96%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ P/E of 10.8 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Debt-to-equity of 2.01 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -34.2% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.01) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
27.0
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-6.224
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Bollinger %B
0.15
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$280.95
Below
EMA 21
$295.60
Below
EMA 50
$306.99
Below
EMA 200
$345.64
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Profitability
24
Financial Health
21
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
11.1×
P/B Ratio
1.08×
PEG Ratio
-0.33
Dividend Yield
0.79%
52W High
$488.39
52W Low
$261.13
Quality & Growth
ROE
1160.6%
ROA
312.8%
Gross Margin
1566.0%
Operating Margin
403.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.03
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 11.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.1x; PEG ratio of -0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 11.6%; Return on assets of 3.1%; Net margin of 1.3%; Gross margin of 15.7%; Current ratio of 1.02 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.03; Free cash flow per share is positive (11.51); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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