GT · NASDAQ · STOCK
Goodyear Tire & Rubber (GT) Stock Analysis
$6.25
52W $5.43 – $10.62
51/100
$1.76B
-0.7
1.12
Is GT Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Goodyear Tire & Rubber (GT) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated September 05, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +9.36 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -10.64 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 1.92) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 0.8x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- ROE of only -84.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 1.92 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Revenue declining -4.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.92) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 05, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 82%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 0.8x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -84.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -4.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.92) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3059.07)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 50.6 to 50.6.
Comparing 2026-09-04 to 2026-09-05 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
46.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.028
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$5.43
Resistance
$7.47
Bollinger %B
0.51
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$6.16
Above
EMA 21
$6.25
Below
EMA 50
$6.42
Below
EMA 200
$7.20
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
41
Profitability
0
Financial Health
12
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-0.7×
P/B Ratio
0.62×
PEG Ratio
0.00
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$10.62
52W Low
$5.43
Quality & Growth
ROE
-5323.2%
ROA
-945.2%
Gross Margin
1834.1%
Operating Margin
213.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.77
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -0.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.6x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -53.2%; Return on assets of -9.5%; Net margin of -14.4%; Gross margin of 18.3%; Current ratio of 1.09 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.77; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.66); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.3%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-200.0% -> -56.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -258.8%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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