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Garrett Motion (GTX) Stock Analysis

Consumer Cyclical Updated October 10, 2026
$26.24
52W $12.26 – $36.25
60/100
$4.89B
14.0
0.84
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
60/100
Conviction: Contested · 67% agreement · 6 analysts
+38.1%
-35.6%
1.07:1
Contested

Is GTX Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) Buy with a composite score of 60/100 , based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy
Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.61 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch
Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.39 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 13.7 is inexpensive for the broad market. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • P/E of 13.7 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
  • EPS growing 27.7% YoY — Growth
  • 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 18 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
  • Current ratio of 0.97 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 26%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst bullish
80 / 100 · Low confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 13.7 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst bullish
60 / 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 27.7% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.97 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
64 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 18 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager bearish
30 / 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 60.4 to 60.4.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
50.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.100
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$16.89
Resistance
$36.25
Bollinger %B
0.60
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$26.15 Above
EMA 21
$26.35 Below
EMA 50
$27.29 Below
EMA 200
$25.07 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
100
Growth
77
Profitability
37
Financial Health
58
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 14.0×
P/B Ratio -7.28×
PEG Ratio 0.47
Dividend Yield 1.22%
52W High $36.25
52W Low $12.26
Quality & Growth
ROE -3865.3%
ROA 1309.7%
Gross Margin 1947.3%
Operating Margin 1062.9%
Revenue Growth YoY —
Debt / Equity -2.10
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 14.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -7.3x; PEG ratio of 0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -38.7%; Return on assets of 13.1%; Net margin of 9.5%; Gross margin of 19.5%; Current ratio of 1.00 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -2.10; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.95); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 13.8%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+14.0% -> +8.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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