HMC · NYSE · STOCK
Honda Motor Co., Ltd.
$31.70
52W $23.25 – $34.89
53/100
$41.14B
-43.5
0.31
Is HMC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (HMC) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.29 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.71 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 18.1% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 0.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.1% pays you to wait — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- ROE of only -3.5% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- RSI at 74 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 84 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 18.1% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 84%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 0.5x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -3.5% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
Technical Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 74 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 18.1% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
74.4
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.163
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$29.24
Resistance
$32.85
Bollinger %B
0.88
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$30.88
Above
EMA 21
$29.87
Above
EMA 50
$28.52
Above
EMA 200
$28.14
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Profitability
0
Financial Health
54
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-43.5×
P/B Ratio
0.53×
PEG Ratio
0.19
Dividend Yield
4.14%
52W High
$34.89
52W Low
$23.25
Quality & Growth
ROE
-357.2%
ROA
-126.0%
Gross Margin
1723.3%
Operating Margin
-56.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.14
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of -43.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.5x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -3.6%; Return on assets of -1.3%; Net margin of -0.8%; Gross margin of 17.2%; Current ratio of 1.29 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.14; Free cash flow per share is positive (121.17); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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