HRL · NYSE · STOCK
Hormel Foods (HRL) Stock Analysis
$19.20
52W $19.16 – $26.60
54/100
$10.56B
30.5
0.29
Is HRL Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Hormel Foods (HRL) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.39 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.61 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 3.5% pays you to wait — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 31.0 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- ROE of only 4.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -54.6% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 21 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 66%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 3.5% pays you to wait
− P/E of 31.0 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
44
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− EPS declining -54.6% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.0 to 53.6.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Technical Analyst: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
21.0
Oversold
MACD Histogram
0.047
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Bollinger %B
0.04
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$19.72
Below
EMA 21
$20.28
Below
EMA 50
$21.51
Below
EMA 200
$23.20
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
79
Growth
59
Profitability
20
Financial Health
95
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
30.5×
P/B Ratio
1.35×
PEG Ratio
-0.56
Dividend Yield
6.08%
52W High
$26.60
52W Low
$19.16
Quality & Growth
ROE
605.2%
ROA
357.1%
Gross Margin
1567.8%
Operating Margin
472.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.36
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 30.5 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.3x; PEG ratio of -0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 6.1%; Return on assets of 3.6%; Net margin of 2.8%; Gross margin of 15.7%; Current ratio of 1.88 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.36; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.42); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.7%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+17.6% -> -7.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 5.7%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full HRL Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →