HTHT · NASDAQ · STOCK
H World Group Limited
$41.59
52W $31.97 – $56.64
58/100
$12.78B
4.8
0.11
Is HTHT Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates H World Group Limited (HTHT) Watch with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +1.95 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -18.05 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.91 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 41.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 5.0% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 54.7% YoY — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 7.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Current ratio of 0.91 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- No news coverage in the last 14 days -- limited independent confirmation either way — News
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 50%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 41.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 7.5x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 54.7% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.91 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
− No news coverage in the last 14 days -- limited independent confirmation either way
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
41.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.112
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$36.67
Resistance
$56.45
Bollinger %B
0.39
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$42.31
Below
EMA 21
$42.22
Below
EMA 50
$43.15
Below
EMA 200
$44.74
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Profitability
81
Financial Health
6
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
4.8×
P/B Ratio
8.07×
PEG Ratio
-0.11
Dividend Yield
4.96%
52W High
$56.64
52W Low
$31.97
Quality & Growth
ROE
3857.0%
ROA
762.4%
Gross Margin
4045.3%
Operating Margin
2701.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
3.27
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 4.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 8.1x; PEG ratio of -0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 38.6%; Return on assets of 7.6%; Net margin of 19.3%; Gross margin of 40.5%; Current ratio of 0.93 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 3.27; Free cash flow per share is positive (23.50); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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