HTHT · NASDAQ · STOCK
H World Group (HTHT) Stock Analysis
$44.17
52W $36.56 – $56.64
53/100
$13.56B
18.0
0.12
Is HTHT Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates H World Group Limited (HTHT) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.08 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.92 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 40.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 33.4% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 7.4x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.91 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 72%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 40.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 7.4x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 33.4% YoY
− 5 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.91 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
− No news coverage in the last 14 days -- limited independent confirmation either way
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.9 to 52.9.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
68.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.148
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$39.87
Resistance
$49.92
Bollinger %B
0.99
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$42.71
Above
EMA 21
$43.05
Above
EMA 50
$43.65
Above
EMA 200
$44.59
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
70
Growth
58
Profitability
82
Financial Health
19
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.0×
P/B Ratio
6.54×
PEG Ratio
-0.21
Dividend Yield
4.97%
52W High
$56.64
52W Low
$36.56
Quality & Growth
ROE
3857.0%
ROA
762.4%
Gross Margin
4212.6%
Operating Margin
2796.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.43
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.5x; PEG ratio of -0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 38.6%; Return on assets of 7.6%; Net margin of 18.9%; Gross margin of 42.1%; Current ratio of 1.21 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.43; Free cash flow per share is positive (25.31); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 5.5%; 5 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-8.1% -> +55.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 60.6%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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