HZO · NYSE · STOCK
MarineMax, Inc.
$52.41
52W $21.42 – $52.46
48/100
$1.16B
291.1
1.59
Is HZO Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates MarineMax, Inc. (HZO) Watch with a composite score of 48/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +11.74 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -8.26 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -5.4% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 0.6x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 288.0 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 0.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -5.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- RSI at 90 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 85 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
48/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 97%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 0.6x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 288.0 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bearish
15
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -5.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 90 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 59.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
89.6
Overbought
MACD Histogram
1.742
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Bollinger %B
1.23
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$41.46
Above
EMA 21
$38.07
Above
EMA 50
$35.76
Above
EMA 200
$30.99
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Profitability
9
Financial Health
51
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
291.1×
P/B Ratio
1.21×
PEG Ratio
-4.52
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$52.46
52W Low
$21.42
Quality & Growth
ROE
-337.5%
ROA
-128.0%
Gross Margin
3421.1%
Operating Margin
293.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.17
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 291.1 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.2x; PEG ratio of -4.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -3.4%; Return on assets of -1.3%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 34.2%; Current ratio of 1.23 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.17; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.09); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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