HZO · NYSE · STOCK
MarineMax (HZO) Stock Analysis
$52.35
52W $21.42 – $52.56
58/100
$1.15B
290.6
1.70
Is HZO Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates MarineMax, Inc. (HZO) Watch with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +2.27 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -17.73 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 0.6x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 7 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 290.3 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 0.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -5.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 84 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 39%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 0.6x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 290.3 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -5.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
67
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.29 across 7 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.5 to 57.7.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
50.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.252
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$31.47
Resistance
$52.44
Bollinger %B
0.36
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$52.39
Below
EMA 21
$52.10
Above
EMA 50
$49.23
Above
EMA 200
$38.29
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Growth
45
Profitability
9
Financial Health
51
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
290.6×
P/B Ratio
1.21×
PEG Ratio
-4.51
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$52.56
52W Low
$21.42
Quality & Growth
ROE
-337.5%
ROA
-128.0%
Gross Margin
3421.1%
Operating Margin
293.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.17
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 290.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.2x; PEG ratio of -4.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -3.4%; Return on assets of -1.3%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 34.2%; Current ratio of 1.23 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.17; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.09); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 3.0%; 3 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (+119.0% -> +1925.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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