IHG · NYSE · STOCK
InterContinental Hotels Group (IHG) Stock Analysis
$160.85
52W $118.47 – $175.89
50/100
$23.74B
33.6
1.03
Is IHG Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates InterContinental Hotels Group PLC (IHG) Watch with a composite score of 50/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.21 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.79 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Technical Analyst sees a compelling case — price structure making higher highs and higher lows. Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -0.5% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 69.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 32.3 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 14.9x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 4.08 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -0.5% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.08) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.98 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
50/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 88%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 69.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 32.3 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -0.5% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.08) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 49.8 to 49.8.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
58.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.341
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$153.17
Resistance
$165.55
Bollinger %B
0.72
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$160.01
Above
EMA 21
$159.05
Above
EMA 50
$158.78
Above
EMA 200
$150.83
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
74
Growth
63
Profitability
48
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
33.6×
P/B Ratio
-8.01×
PEG Ratio
1.07
Dividend Yield
1.19%
52W High
$175.89
52W Low
$118.47
Quality & Growth
ROE
-2765.4%
ROA
1418.2%
Gross Margin
3071.9%
Operating Margin
3071.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-1.52
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 33.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -8.0x; PEG ratio of 1.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -27.7%; Return on assets of 14.2%; Net margin of 13.4%; Gross margin of 30.7%; Current ratio of 0.66 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -1.52; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.09); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 0.6%; EPS growth roughly steady (+6.7% -> +6.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 15.2%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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