INGR · NYSE · STOCK
Ingredion (INGR) Stock Analysis
$95.07
52W $93.72 – $123.49
59/100
$6.00B
10.2
0.64
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is INGR Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Ingredion (INGR) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.07 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.93 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 10.1 is inexpensive for the broad market. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 10.1 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.0% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 9 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -1.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -10.3% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 36%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 10.1 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -1.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 9 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.7 to 58.9.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
37.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.024
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$94.50
Resistance
$95.35
Bollinger %B
0.20
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$95.71
Below
EMA 21
$97.12
Below
EMA 50
$99.31
Below
EMA 200
$106.14
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
64
Profitability
57
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
10.2×
P/B Ratio
1.33×
PEG Ratio
-0.94
Dividend Yield
3.46%
52W High
$123.49
52W Low
$93.72
Quality & Growth
ROE
1680.5%
ROA
923.1%
Gross Margin
2372.8%
Operating Margin
1193.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.39
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 10.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.3x; PEG ratio of -0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 16.8%; Return on assets of 9.2%; Net margin of 8.2%; Gross margin of 23.7%; Current ratio of 2.80 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.39; Free cash flow per share is positive (10.32); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.6%; EPS growth accelerating (-7.5% -> +20.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -1.7%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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