IP · NYSE · STOCK
International Paper (IP) Stock Analysis
$37.25
52W $29.26 – $50.25
52/100
$19.30B
-5.6
0.89
Is IP Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates International Paper (IP) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated September 05, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.50 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.50 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.67 across 3 articles, 14d). Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -18.0% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 5.6% pays you to wait — Value
- News sentiment is positive (+0.67 across 3 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- ROE of only -22.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -18.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 22 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 05, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 75%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -22.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
25
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -18.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 22 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− Bollinger bandwidth of 18.1% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
79
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.67 across 3 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3059.07)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.5 to 52.5.
Comparing 2026-09-04 to 2026-09-05 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
21.6
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.660
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$35.57
Resistance
$38.05
Bollinger %B
-0.00
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$38.23
Below
EMA 21
$39.35
Below
EMA 50
$39.03
Below
EMA 200
$39.44
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
41
Profitability
5
Financial Health
58
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-5.6×
P/B Ratio
1.33×
PEG Ratio
-0.00
Dividend Yield
5.08%
52W High
$50.25
52W Low
$29.26
Quality & Growth
ROE
-2371.3%
ROA
-926.1%
Gross Margin
2774.9%
Operating Margin
-1145.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.67
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -5.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.3x; PEG ratio of -0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -23.7%; Return on assets of -9.3%; Net margin of -14.2%; Gross margin of 27.7%; Current ratio of 1.10 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.67; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.93); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 766.7%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+287.5% -> -73.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -80.0%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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