KDP · NASDAQ · STOCK
Keurig Dr Pepper
$30.01
52W $24.88 – $35.94
58/100
$40.83B
22.2
0.41
Is KDP Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Watch with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 08, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +2.16 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -17.84 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). The main limiting factor is current ratio of 0.64 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.0% pays you to wait — Value
- Revenue growing 27.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 28.6 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- EPS declining -7.1% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.64 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 08, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 44%
of 50 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.5x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 28.6 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 27.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− EPS declining -7.1% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.64 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 35 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.8 to 57.8.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-07 to 2026-08-08 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
35.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.047
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$26.41
Resistance
$31.30
Bollinger %B
0.23
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$30.63
Below
EMA 21
$30.79
Below
EMA 50
$30.63
Below
EMA 200
$29.65
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
90
Growth
72
Profitability
54
Financial Health
33
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
22.2×
P/B Ratio
1.63×
PEG Ratio
0.98
Dividend Yield
3.07%
52W High
$35.94
52W Low
$24.88
Quality & Growth
ROE
814.8%
ROA
374.9%
Gross Margin
5377.7%
Operating Margin
2129.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.20
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 22.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.6x; PEG ratio of 1.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.1%; Return on assets of 3.7%; Net margin of 10.8%; Gross margin of 53.8%; Current ratio of 0.48 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.20; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.16); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 5.0%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-35.0% -> +46.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 16.3%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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