KMB · NASDAQ · STOCK
Kimberly-Clark (KMB) Stock Analysis
$97.61
52W $92.42 – $123.09
50/100
$32.39B
16.6
0.28
Is KMB Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) Watch with a composite score of 50/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +9.71 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -10.29 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 122.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.9% pays you to wait — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 22.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 4.79 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Revenue declining -12.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -19.1% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
50/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 86%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 122.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 22.3x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -12.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 4.79) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 50.3 to 50.3.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
51.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.412
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$96.29
Resistance
$111.78
Bollinger %B
0.52
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$97.01
Above
EMA 21
$98.43
Below
EMA 50
$101.59
Below
EMA 200
$105.58
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
65
Growth
78
Profitability
75
Financial Health
5
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
16.6×
P/B Ratio
18.55×
PEG Ratio
-0.86
Dividend Yield
5.23%
52W High
$123.09
52W Low
$92.42
Quality & Growth
ROE
13455.4%
ROA
1173.2%
Gross Margin
3669.2%
Operating Margin
1238.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
3.72
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 16.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 18.5x; PEG ratio of -0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 134.6%; Return on assets of 11.7%; Net margin of 11.8%; Gross margin of 36.7%; Current ratio of 0.91 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 3.72; Free cash flow per share is positive (7.70); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.2%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth roughly steady (+5.9% -> +7.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 30.1%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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