KSS · NYSE · STOCK
Kohl's (KSS) Stock Analysis
$20.34
52W $11.38 – $25.22
60/100
$2.31B
8.4
1.35
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is KSS Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Kohl's Corporation (KSS) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.54 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.46 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 8.5 is inexpensive for the broad market. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 8.5 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 0.5x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 8.6% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 26.7% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -2.9% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- RSI at 80 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 28.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 24%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 8.5 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 26.7% YoY
− Revenue declining -2.9% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 80 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 28.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.5 to 60.5.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 83% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral.
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
79.9
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.301
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$16.04
Resistance
$20.38
Bollinger %B
0.92
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$19.44
Above
EMA 21
$18.73
Above
EMA 50
$18.24
Above
EMA 200
$16.87
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
52
Profitability
28
Financial Health
53
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
8.4×
P/B Ratio
0.55×
PEG Ratio
0.29
Dividend Yield
2.46%
52W High
$25.22
52W Low
$11.38
Quality & Growth
ROE
671.9%
ROA
203.6%
Gross Margin
3891.8%
Operating Margin
386.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.54
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 8.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.6x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 6.7%; Return on assets of 2.0%; Net margin of 1.7%; Gross margin of 38.9%; Current ratio of 1.49 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.54; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.74); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 46.5%; EPS growth accelerating (-112.1% -> +338.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -44.6%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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