KTB · NYSE · STOCK
Kontoor Brands (KTB) Stock Analysis
$73.61
52W $56.19 – $88.96
60/100
$4.07B
15.2
0.89
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is KTB Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 06, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.89 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.11 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 2.02) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 46.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.2% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.53 across 15 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 6.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.02 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.02) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 19.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 06, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 41%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 46.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 6.0x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.02) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.53 across 15 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.9 to 60.1.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: score 55->50 (-5).
Comparing 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-06 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
32.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.720
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$61.69
Resistance
$74.56
Bollinger %B
0.17
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$75.58
Below
EMA 21
$78.07
Below
EMA 50
$79.27
Below
EMA 200
$75.28
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
53
Growth
62
Profitability
76
Financial Health
54
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
15.2×
P/B Ratio
6.55×
PEG Ratio
2.22
Dividend Yield
2.87%
52W High
$88.96
52W Low
$56.19
Quality & Growth
ROE
4026.7%
ROA
880.7%
Gross Margin
4971.4%
Operating Margin
1266.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.06
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 15.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.6x; PEG ratio of 2.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 40.3%; Return on assets of 8.8%; Net margin of 8.7%; Gross margin of 49.7%; Current ratio of 1.83 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.06; Free cash flow per share is positive (7.68); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.4%; EPS growth accelerating (-38.7% -> +0.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -12.4%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Get the Full KTB Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →