KTB · NYSE · STOCK
Kontoor Brands (KTB) Stock Analysis
$65.58
52W $56.19 – $88.96
56/100
$3.63B
13.6
0.90
Is KTB Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.61 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.39 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — quarter-over-quarter growth rate is accelerating, not just positive. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 2.02) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 13.4 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 46.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.2% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 12 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 6.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.02 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.02) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 47%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ P/E of 13.4 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Price-to-book of 6.0x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.02) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 12 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.5 to 56.4.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
49.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.623
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$61.69
Resistance
$66.86
Bollinger %B
0.50
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$65.27
Above
EMA 21
$66.68
Below
EMA 50
$70.87
Below
EMA 200
$73.27
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
61
Growth
62
Profitability
76
Financial Health
54
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
13.6×
P/B Ratio
5.84×
PEG Ratio
1.98
Dividend Yield
3.23%
52W High
$88.96
52W Low
$56.19
Quality & Growth
ROE
4026.7%
ROA
880.7%
Gross Margin
4971.4%
Operating Margin
1266.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.06
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 13.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.8x; PEG ratio of 2.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 40.3%; Return on assets of 8.8%; Net margin of 8.7%; Gross margin of 49.7%; Current ratio of 1.83 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.06; Free cash flow per share is positive (7.68); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.6%; EPS growth accelerating (-38.7% -> +0.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -12.4%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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