LEA · NASDAQ · STOCK
Lear
$122.82
52W $95.35 – $150.33
60/100
$6.15B
11.4
1.26
Is LEA Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Lear (LEA) Watch with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 08, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +0.45 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -19.55 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 10.9 is inexpensive for the broad market. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 26.9% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 10.9 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.6% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 25.3% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 26.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 08, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 33%
of 124 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 10.9 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 25.3% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 26.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 29 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 53.0 to 59.5.
- Committee agreement increased sharply from 40% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 5 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst, Technical Analyst.
- New analyst(s) joined: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; +1 bullish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 38->48 (+10).
- Value Analyst joined: bullish at 80.
Comparing 2026-08-07 to 2026-08-08 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
30.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-2.600
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$119.42
Resistance
$126.84
Bollinger %B
0.11
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$129.19
Below
EMA 21
$134.13
Below
EMA 50
$135.70
Below
EMA 200
$126.30
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
81
Profitability
21
Financial Health
67
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
11.4×
P/B Ratio
1.21×
PEG Ratio
0.46
Dividend Yield
2.51%
52W High
$150.33
52W Low
$95.35
Quality & Growth
ROE
867.5%
ROA
294.3%
Gross Margin
704.9%
Operating Margin
406.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.68
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 11.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.2x; PEG ratio of 0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.7%; Return on assets of 2.9%; Net margin of 2.3%; Gross margin of 7.0%; Current ratio of 1.31 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.68; Free cash flow per share is positive (16.59); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 7.0%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+13.5% -> +10.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 23.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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