LEN · NYSE · STOCK
Lennar (LEN) Stock Analysis
$86.53
52W $79.83 – $144.24
62/100
$21.56B
13.6
1.40
Is LEN Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Lennar (LEN) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 18, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +12.53 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -7.47 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.27) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -7.5% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 13.0 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.27) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -7.5% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -47.1% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 18, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 30%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 13.0 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -7.5% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.27) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2963.04)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 62.5 to 62.5.
Comparing 2026-08-17 to 2026-08-18 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
52.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.351
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$83.11
Resistance
$95.97
Bollinger %B
0.70
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$86.40
Above
EMA 21
$85.99
Above
EMA 50
$86.95
Below
EMA 200
$97.51
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
42
Profitability
33
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
13.6×
P/B Ratio
0.97×
PEG Ratio
-0.29
Dividend Yield
2.30%
52W High
$144.24
52W Low
$79.83
Quality & Growth
ROE
946.4%
ROA
603.6%
Gross Margin
795.1%
Operating Margin
601.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.29
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 13.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.0x; PEG ratio of -0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 9.5%; Return on assets of 6.0%; Net margin of 4.9%; Gross margin of 8.0%; Current ratio of 4.66 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.29; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.39); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.1%; 3 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-51.8% -> +33.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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