LKQ · NASDAQ · STOCK
LKQ (LKQ) Stock Analysis
$21.84
52W $21.17 – $37.13
53/100
$5.53B
12.1
0.86
Is LKQ Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates LKQ Corporation (LKQ) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.75 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.25 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 12.1 is inexpensive for the broad market. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -2.5% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 12.1 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.6% pays you to wait — Value
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -2.5% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -33.9% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 19 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 68%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 12.1 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bearish
22
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -2.5% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 53.2 to 53.2.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
19.3
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.075
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$21.21
Resistance
$27.26
Bollinger %B
0.01
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$22.41
Below
EMA 21
$23.02
Below
EMA 50
$23.95
Below
EMA 200
$27.22
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
32
Profitability
37
Financial Health
74
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
12.1×
P/B Ratio
0.86×
PEG Ratio
-0.36
Dividend Yield
5.49%
52W High
$37.13
52W Low
$21.17
Quality & Growth
ROE
928.6%
ROA
401.0%
Gross Margin
3766.1%
Operating Margin
679.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.82
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 12.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.9x; PEG ratio of -0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 9.3%; Return on assets of 4.0%; Net margin of 3.4%; Gross margin of 37.7%; Current ratio of 1.58 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.82; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.45); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 6.9%; 3 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+13.6% -> +0.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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