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LKQ · NASDAQ · STOCK

LKQ Corporation

Consumer Cyclical Updated August 11, 2026
$24.72
52W $21.17 – $37.13
53/100
$6.25B
13.7
0.83
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
53/100
Conviction: Contested · 33% agreement · 6 analysts
Contested

Is LKQ Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates LKQ Corporation (LKQ) Watch with a composite score of 53/100 , based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement. Last updated August 11, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.58 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.42 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 13.5 is inexpensive for the broad market. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -2.5% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • P/E of 13.5 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
  • Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value — Value
  • Dividend yield of 4.9% pays you to wait — Value
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
  • VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
  • Revenue declining -2.5% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
  • EPS declining -33.9% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
  • Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
  • Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 17.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 82%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst bullish
80 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 13.5 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst bearish
18 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -2.5% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst neutral
53 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
78 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager neutral
55 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
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Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
51.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.047
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$24.05
Resistance
$32.49
Bollinger %B
0.47
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$24.55 Above
EMA 21
$24.82 Below
EMA 50
$25.61 Below
EMA 200
$28.92 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
100
Profitability
37
Financial Health
74
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 13.7×
P/B Ratio 0.98×
PEG Ratio -0.41
Dividend Yield 4.86%
52W High $37.13
52W Low $21.17
Quality & Growth
ROE 928.6%
ROA 401.0%
Gross Margin 3766.1%
Operating Margin 679.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.82
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 13.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.0x; PEG ratio of -0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 9.3%; Return on assets of 4.0%; Net margin of 3.4%; Gross margin of 37.7%; Current ratio of 1.58 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.82; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.45); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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