LOPE · NASDAQ · STOCK
Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) Stock Analysis
$159.84
52W $134.27 – $223.04
61/100
$4.17B
19.2
0.58
Is LOPE Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.38 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.62 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 31.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+0.50 across 2 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 6.2x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 74 is in overbought territory — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 23%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 31.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 6.2x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 74 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
74
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.50 across 2 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.6 to 60.6.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
74.0
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.935
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$159.06
Resistance
$172.76
Bollinger %B
0.96
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$155.81
Above
EMA 21
$153.31
Above
EMA 50
$151.34
Above
EMA 200
$157.78
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
37
Growth
51
Profitability
95
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
19.2×
P/B Ratio
6.24×
PEG Ratio
79.71
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$223.04
52W Low
$134.27
Quality & Growth
ROE
2894.1%
ROA
2178.5%
Gross Margin
5327.1%
Operating Margin
2776.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.16
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 19.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.2x; PEG ratio of 79.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 28.9%; Return on assets of 21.8%; Net margin of 19.6%; Gross margin of 53.3%; Current ratio of 2.82 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.16; Free cash flow per share is positive (9.27); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 6.0%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (-10.9% -> -36.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 18.3%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Get the Full LOPE Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →