LW · NYSE · STOCK
Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) Stock Analysis
$54.19
52W $37.62 – $67.07
49/100
$7.14B
28.1
0.47
Is LW Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) Watch with a composite score of 49/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 14, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.52 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.48 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 2.15) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 64 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 27.9 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.15 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -11.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 74 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 14, 2026
Overall Committee Score
49/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 91%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 27.9 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
44
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− EPS declining -11.7% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 74 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.15) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 64 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 52.9 to 49.5.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 67% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 80->65 (-15).
- News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 60->64 (+4); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: score 30->35 (+5).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 58->48 (-10); +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-14 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
76.9
Overbought
MACD Histogram
1.182
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$52.52
Resistance
$55.66
Bollinger %B
1.02
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$49.17
Above
EMA 21
$47.91
Above
EMA 50
$48.25
Above
EMA 200
$48.36
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
70
Growth
56
Profitability
34
Financial Health
35
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
28.1×
P/B Ratio
3.96×
PEG Ratio
-2.45
Dividend Yield
2.91%
52W High
$67.07
52W Low
$37.62
Quality & Growth
ROE
1589.1%
ROA
392.9%
Gross Margin
1938.3%
Operating Margin
780.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.17
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 28.1 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.0x; PEG ratio of -2.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 15.9%; Return on assets of 3.9%; Net margin of 3.8%; Gross margin of 19.4%; Current ratio of 1.45 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.17; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.70); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 23.8%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+20.8% -> -13.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 1.4%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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