LW · NYSE · STOCK
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.
$52.63
52W $37.62 – $67.07
51/100
$7.23B
25.0
0.46
Is LW Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +9.17 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -10.83 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -16.6% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 16.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.9% pays you to wait — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 2.15 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -16.6% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 79 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.15) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 90%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 16.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Debt-to-equity of 2.15 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -16.6% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.15) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
59.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.162
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$52.52
Resistance
$56.88
Bollinger %B
0.65
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$52.30
Above
EMA 21
$50.85
Above
EMA 50
$48.21
Above
EMA 200
$47.97
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
74
Profitability
36
Financial Health
34
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
25.0×
P/B Ratio
3.97×
PEG Ratio
-1.50
Dividend Yield
2.87%
52W High
$67.07
52W Low
$37.62
Quality & Growth
ROE
1589.1%
ROA
392.9%
Gross Margin
2056.3%
Operating Margin
893.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.16
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 25.0 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.0x; PEG ratio of -1.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 15.9%; Return on assets of 3.9%; Net margin of 4.4%; Gross margin of 20.6%; Current ratio of 1.42 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.16; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.62); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
Get the Full LW Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →