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MAR · NASDAQ · STOCK

Marriott International (MAR) Stock Analysis

Consumer Cyclical Updated September 05, 2026
$336.50
52W $256.76 – $410.98
62/100
$87.64B
35.0
1.12
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
62/100
Conviction: Contested · 50% agreement · 4 analysts
+10.0%
-7.3%
1.36:1
Contested

Is MAR Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates Marriott International (MAR) Buy with a composite score of 62/100 , based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement. Last updated September 05, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy
Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.00 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch
Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -7.00 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — quarter-over-quarter growth rate is accelerating, not just positive. Technical Analyst remains cautious — rsi at 27 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
  • RSI at 27 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of September 05, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 20%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Analyst bullish
85 / 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst bearish
38 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 27 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst neutral
60 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3059.07)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score strengthened significantly from 50.5 to 62.0.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Growth Analyst: score 62->85 (+22).
  • Risk Analyst abstained (was bearish at 32).
  • Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 45).

Comparing 2026-09-04 to 2026-09-05 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
26.7
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-1.933
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$311.44
Resistance
$369.68
Bollinger %B
0.05
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$344.09 Below
EMA 21
$351.35 Below
EMA 50
$359.18 Below
EMA 200
$343.68 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
40
Growth
78
Profitability
36
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 35.0×
P/B Ratio -19.94×
PEG Ratio 4.32
Dividend Yield 0.83%
52W High $410.98
52W Low $256.76
Quality & Growth
ROE -6897.4%
ROA 944.4%
Gross Margin 2016.4%
Operating Margin 1579.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity -3.93
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 35.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -19.9x; PEG ratio of 4.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -69.0%; Return on assets of 9.4%; Net margin of 9.6%; Gross margin of 20.2%; Current ratio of 0.53 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -3.93; Free cash flow per share is positive (11.66); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.2%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+5.4% -> +17.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 20.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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