MDLZ · NASDAQ · STOCK
Mondelez International
$62.59
52W $51.20 – $66.65
57/100
$79.91B
23.0
0.41
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is MDLZ Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Mondelez International (MDLZ) Buy with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 08, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +18.08 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -1.92 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.59 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 3.2% pays you to wait — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- EPS declining -0.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.59 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 08, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 52%
of 50 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 3.2% pays you to wait
Growth Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− EPS declining -0.4% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.59 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 41 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.9 to 56.9.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-07 to 2026-08-08 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
56.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.148
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$59.38
Resistance
$62.78
Bollinger %B
0.70
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$62.30
Above
EMA 21
$61.64
Above
EMA 50
$61.02
Above
EMA 200
$60.39
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
81
Growth
69
Profitability
38
Financial Health
42
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
23.0×
P/B Ratio
3.03×
PEG Ratio
-15.88
Dividend Yield
3.19%
52W High
$66.65
52W Low
$51.20
Quality & Growth
ROE
948.6%
ROA
342.9%
Gross Margin
3114.6%
Operating Margin
1141.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.83
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 23.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.0x; PEG ratio of -15.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 9.5%; Return on assets of 3.4%; Net margin of 8.9%; Gross margin of 31.1%; Current ratio of 0.60 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.83; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.39); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 5.2%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-6.9% -> +9.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 0.0%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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