MDLZ · NASDAQ · STOCK
Mondelez International (MDLZ) Stock Analysis
$60.41
52W $51.20 – $66.65
56/100
$77.10B
22.2
0.39
Is MDLZ Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Mondelez International (MDLZ) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.62 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.38 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 36 articles, 14d). Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 36 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- EPS declining -0.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Current ratio of 0.59 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 52%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
Growth Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− EPS declining -0.4% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.59 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 36 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.4 to 56.4.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
56.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.124
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$59.38
Resistance
$62.78
Bollinger %B
0.53
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$59.73
Above
EMA 21
$60.22
Above
EMA 50
$60.92
Below
EMA 200
$60.75
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
83
Growth
69
Profitability
38
Financial Health
42
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
22.2×
P/B Ratio
2.92×
PEG Ratio
-15.32
Dividend Yield
3.34%
52W High
$66.65
52W Low
$51.20
Quality & Growth
ROE
948.6%
ROA
342.9%
Gross Margin
3114.6%
Operating Margin
1141.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.83
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 22.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.9x; PEG ratio of -15.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 9.5%; Return on assets of 3.4%; Net margin of 8.9%; Gross margin of 31.1%; Current ratio of 0.60 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.83; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.39); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 5.2%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-6.9% -> +9.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 0.0%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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