MGM · NYSE · STOCK
MGM Resorts (MGM) Stock Analysis
$29.26
52W $29.19 – $51.59
49/100
$7.36B
17.5
1.35
Is MGM Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates MGM Resorts (MGM) Watch with a composite score of 49/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +11.12 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -8.88 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 30 articles, 14d). Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 17.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 30 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 4.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.67 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -10.5% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 11 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
49/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 93%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 17.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 4.1x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -10.5% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bearish
31
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.67) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 30 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 48.5 to 48.9.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
10.5
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.189
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Bollinger %B
0.20
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$30.85
Below
EMA 21
$33.67
Below
EMA 50
$37.73
Below
EMA 200
$39.59
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
89
Growth
53
Profitability
30
Financial Health
22
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.5×
P/B Ratio
2.96×
PEG Ratio
-2.00
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$51.59
52W Low
$29.19
Quality & Growth
ROE
848.8%
ROA
49.9%
Gross Margin
4415.7%
Operating Margin
572.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
11.87
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.0x; PEG ratio of -2.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.5%; Return on assets of 0.5%; Net margin of 2.4%; Gross margin of 44.2%; Current ratio of 1.33 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 11.87; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.58); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.9%; EPS growth accelerating (-14.0% -> +20.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -25.3%; Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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