MHK · NYSE · STOCK
Mohawk Industries (MHK) Stock Analysis
$118.02
52W $92.99 – $140.30
65/100
$7.20B
15.6
1.17
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is MHK Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) Buy with a composite score of 65/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +10.14 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -9.86 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.24) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 0.8x is a discount to asset value — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.24) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
65/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 9%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 0.8x is a discount to asset value
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.24) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 64.9 to 64.9.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
30.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.485
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$105.80
Resistance
$122.91
Bollinger %B
0.12
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$121.99
Below
EMA 21
$123.93
Below
EMA 50
$124.33
Below
EMA 200
$118.12
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
66
Growth
94
Profitability
20
Financial Health
96
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
15.6×
P/B Ratio
0.84×
PEG Ratio
58.88
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$140.30
52W Low
$92.99
Quality & Growth
ROE
441.8%
ROA
270.2%
Gross Margin
2464.8%
Operating Margin
538.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.28
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 15.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.8x; PEG ratio of 58.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 4.4%; Return on assets of 2.7%; Net margin of 4.2%; Gross margin of 24.6%; Current ratio of 1.92 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.28; Free cash flow per share is positive (13.37); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 40.6%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-5.0% -> +93.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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